AI agents are quietly rewriting prediction market trading

Prediction markets are increasingly driven by machines as well as people. David Minarsch, CEO and co-founder of Valory AG, says autonomous AI agents are becoming powerful tools for trading those markets and helping retail users compete in a more automated landscape.

Valory develops technology at the intersection of blockchain and multi-agent systems, and its current focus is Olas, formerly Autonolas. The protocol provides infrastructure for autonomous software agents that can run services on blockchains, interact with smart contracts, cooperate with one another and earn crypto rewards, all within what Minarsch describes as an emerging “agent economy.” One notable experiment is Polystrat, an agent launched on Polymarket in February 2026 that trades on behalf of self-custodying users around the clock.

Within roughly a month it executed more than 4,200 trades and recorded single-trade returns as high as 376%, and the team reports over 37% of its agents showed a positive P&L versus less than half that share for human participants.

ai agents, prediction markets, valory, olas, polystrat, polymarket, blockchain, smart contracts, agent economy, multi-agent systems