Analysts flag five bear-market signals for Bitcoin in January

Beincrypto reports analysts are identifying five bear-market signals for Bitcoin this January, saying technical, historical and on-chain indicators suggest the broader trend has turned negative.

On the technical side, an analyst on X, Titan of Crypto, pointed to a bearish Kumo twist on Bitcoin’s weekly Ichimoku cloud, with similar weekly Kumo shifts historically preceding drawdowns of roughly 67–70%. Bitcoin has fallen nearly 2.5% over the past 24 hours to $92,663 and is trading below its 365-day moving average near $101,000. Analyst Raven noted the asset has lost the Gaussian Channel’s median on shorter timeframes and warned failed retests of that level have marked the start of more aggressive bear phases, with a possible retest toward the $103,000 zone. Historical cycle drops after market peaks were about 75.9%, 81.2% and 74% in prior cycles, while the current pullback has been just above 30%.

Broader cycle measures show bearish conditions began in October 2025 but have not yet moved into an extreme bear phase, and on-chain data reveals rising exchange inflows dominated by holders in the 10–100 BTC and 100–1,000 BTC bands—activity analysts say is consistent with distribution rather than accumulation. Overall, multiple indicators point to a developing bear phase, but whether Bitcoin will follow past downside patterns or surprise with renewed strength remains uncertain.

Key Topics

Crypto, Bitcoin, Raven, Ichimoku Cloud, Kumo Twist, Exchange Inflows