Broncos host Bills in AFC divisional round; SportsLine runs 10,000 simulations

Cbssports reports the divisional round opens Saturday with the Denver Broncos (14-3) hosting the Buffalo Bills (12-5) at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, kickoff at 4:30 p.m. ET; Buffalo advanced with a 27-24 road win over Jacksonville in the wild-card round and Denver earned a bye as the AFC's No. 1 seed.

The report lists several injury notes: Buffalo safety Jordan Poyer (hamstring) is ruled out, while defensive lineman Ed Oliver (bicep) and receiver Curtis Samuel (elbow) are questionable. Denver is 8-1 at home this season. DraftKings Sportsbook shows the Broncos as a 1.5-point favorite, the over/under at 45.5 and the money lines at Denver -120, Buffalo +100.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, projects the game to go over the total with a projection of 47 combined points and says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations; the article notes the model has been up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since inception and is on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating to 2024. Picks and full model breakdowns are available at SportsLine, and the game will be on CBS or streamable on Paramount+.

Key Topics

Sports, Denver Broncos, Buffalo Bills, Empower Field, Jordan Poyer, Josh Allen