Ethereum Price Prediction: What To Expect From ETH In March 2026

Ethereum enters March after a bruising February that wiped out roughly 20% and extended an unprecedented streak of six consecutive down months since September 2025; if losses continue, March would make seven. Historically the month has a median return near 9%, but the present technical and flow indicators suggest history may offer little guidance.

The weekly chart shows a clear breakdown from a head-and-shoulders pattern that formed since April 7, 2025, and confirmed in early January 2026. The pattern’s measured move targets about a 53% drop to roughly $1,320, while fresh weekly EMA crossovers — the 50 approaching the 100 and the 20 nearing the 200 — would reinforce the bearish higher-timeframe trend if they complete.

Institutional flows provide no buffer: Ethereum spot ETFs registered four straight months of outflows, with February net redemptions of $369.87 million, larger than January’s $353.20 million and reversing a brief improvement observed in January.

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