Jazz at Mavericks: model projects Under after 10,000 simulations

The Utah Jazz visit the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Saturday at 5 p.m. ET, Cbssports reports.

Both Western Conference teams are injury-plagued and met on Thursday in a 144-122 Dallas win. Dallas is 12th in the West at 16-26, with Utah 1.5 games back at 14-27. Dallas remains without Anthony Davis (finger) and Kyrie Irving (knee), while star rookie Cooper Flagg (ankle) is doubtful; Utah won't have big men Lauri Markkanen (illness) and Walker Kessler (shoulder). The Mavericks are 3.5-point favorites, the over/under is 241.5 and the money line is Mavericks -161, Jazz +135.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated Jazz vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and is backing the Under (241.5), projecting 233 combined points and an Under hit rate of 64%. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks, entering Week 13 of the 2025-26 season on a 34-15 roll on top-rated spread picks.

Key Topics

Sports, Dallas Mavericks, Utah Jazz, American Airlines Center, Anthony Davis, Over Under