On-chain markets put 15% odds on Trump acquiring Greenland before 2027

Beincrypto reports that on-chain prediction markets are actively pricing President Donald Trump’s revived push to acquire Greenland: Polymarket shows the question “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” at roughly 15% with nearly $3 million in total volume committed. Reuters reported that on January 7 US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed he will meet Danish leaders next week to discuss Greenland, citing national security concerns amid increased Russian and Chinese activity while stressing diplomacy as the preferred route and stopping short of ruling out more forceful options.

Denmark and Greenland have reiterated that “Greenland is not for sale,” and European allies have warned US aggression could fracture NATO. Polymarket markets break the situation into paths rather than a binary outcome: a US acquisition before 2027 sits near 15%, a partial acquisition in 2026 is priced around 15%, a US military invasion trades at about 8–9%, and a symbolic move such as a Trump visit by March 31 carries the highest probability at roughly 22–23% though liquidity is thin.

Order-book data shows sellers dominating above current prices, capping upside near 16–18 cents, with buyers stepping in below the market, a pattern the outlet describes as cautious conviction rather than speculative frenzy.

Key Topics

Crypto, Polymarket, Donald Trump, Greenland, Marco Rubio, Denmark