Uncertainty Shapes Travel Plans in 2026 as Politics and Climate Bite

Travel in 2026 is being defined by uncertainty as politics, military action and climate change force vacationers to rethink itineraries in places that once seemed predictable. The Caribbean faces the added risk of possible U.S. military action in Venezuela or Cuba, some prospective visitors are reconsidering trips to the United States amid President Trump’s immigration policies, and the threat of American annexation has put Greenland on hold for some travelers.

Members of the United States Tour Operators Association ranked economic uncertainty as their biggest threat in 2026. Terry Dale, chief executive of the group, wrote in a statement, “What I can recommend for U.S. travelers in 2026 is to do their research and prepare.” One giant question mark is this summer’s World Cup, with matches in 11 U.S.

cities as well as in Canada and Mexico. The Trump administration has fully or partly blocked entry into the United States for citizens of four countries whose teams have already qualified—Ivory Coast, Haiti, Iran and Senegal—and the prospect of similar moves could make international fans hesitate before spending thousands on tickets, hotels and transportation.

Climate change is driving more extreme weather events—severe hurricanes, flooding and wildfires—that are increasingly disrupting travel plans, even in places like North Carolina or Los Angeles.

Key Topics

Business, Us Tour Operators, Trump Administration, Venezuela, Cuba, Greenland