Golden Globes 2026: One Battle After Another leads as predictions favour Anderson and Sinners

Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another, which has already swept major precursors, leads this weekend’s Golden Globes with nine nominations, the film having won best film from the New York and Los Angeles film circles, the National Board of Review and the National Society of Film Critics.

The drama field is unusually diverse this year—the major drama category includes three foreign-language films and directors from Latino, Black, Middle Eastern and Asian backgrounds—and is hard to predict. The writer sees the best drama race as a tight contest between Hamnet and Sinners, but predicts Sinners will edge out Hamnet, boosted by recent actor nominations and popular support.

In acting predictions the writer expects Jessie Buckley to take best female actor (drama) after a Critics Choice win, while the best male actor (drama) looks close: Wagner Moura is favoured here, though Michael B Jordan remains a strong contender. For comedy or musical categories One Battle After Another is predicted to win best film, Rose Byrne is tipped for best female actor (comedy or musical) and Timothée Chalamet for best male actor (comedy or musical).

Among supporting and directing categories the writer forecasts Amy Madigan to win best female supporting actor and Jacob Elordi best male supporting actor, and expects Paul Thomas Anderson to win best director, with Ryan Coogler and others mentioned as possible alternatives in a competitive field.

Key Topics

Culture, Golden Globes, Paul Thomas Anderson, Sinners, Hamnet, Timothée Chalamet