Hawks host Pacers in rescheduled afternoon game; model favors the Over

Cbssports reports the Atlanta Hawks will host the Indiana Pacers at State Farm Arena in Atlanta on Monday, with tipoff moved to 1:30 p.m. ET after the game was shifted to the afternoon because of a winter storm impacting the area.

The Hawks are 22-25 and sit 10th in the Eastern Conference, while Indiana is 11-35 and 14th. Quenton Jackson (ankle) and Bennedict Mathurin (thumb) are listed as questionable for Indiana; Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) and Zaccharie Risacher (knee) are out for Atlanta. Atlanta is a 5-point favorite, the over/under is 231.5, and the money line is Hawks -205, Pacers +170.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the game 10,000 times and is calling the Over on 231.5, projecting 236 combined points and an Over hit rate of 53%. The model projects 11 players to score 9.5 or more points, with Pascal Siakam at 21.4 points for Indiana and Jalen Johnson at 25.7 for Atlanta, and it produced an against-the-spread pick that hits in nearly 60% of simulations. The model has returned well over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons and enters Week 14 on a 35-15 roll on top-rated spread picks.

Tipoff remains set for 1:30 p.m. ET; the model's full picks and betting advice are available at SportsLine, and final injury statuses are still uncertain ahead of the game.

Key Topics

Sports, Atlanta Hawks, Indiana Pacers, State Farm Arena, Kristaps Porzingis, Pascal Siakam