MicroStrategy Stock Signals 10% Risk as Bitcoin Correlation Strengthens

MicroStrategy stock closed around $133 on February 13 after an 8.85% one-day rise and a weekly gain near 5%, while Bitcoin fell about 2.2% over the same period, producing an unusual gap between the two. The seven-day rolling correlation has surged to 0.98, bringing the two assets into near-perfect alignment and tying MicroStrategy’s prospects closely to Bitcoin’s next move.

Momentum indicators hint at pressure. Between December 9 and February 13 the MicroStrategy price formed a lower high even as the Relative Strength Index posted a higher high, a hidden bearish divergence that preceded a roughly 14% drop earlier. The $133 level ($133.88 exact) is pivotal: a candle that stays below it would keep correction risk active, while a move above would weaken the bearish signal and could extend the bounce—at least temporarily reducing Bitcoin’s influence.

Flows tell a mixed story.

microstrategy, bitcoin, rolling correlation, rsi, hidden divergence, momentum indicators, correction risk, 133 level, price gap, weekly gain