Thunder at Cavaliers on MLK Day; model leans Over 234.5

Cbssports reports the Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Rocket Arena to face the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday as part of the 2026 MLK Day schedule; tipoff is set for 2:30 p.m. ET.

OKC leads the NBA at 35-8 and lost at Miami on Saturday. Cleveland is 24-19, has won three of its last four and sits fifth in the Eastern Conference. Darius Garland (toe) remains for for Cleveland. The latest betting lines list the Thunder as 6.5-point road favorites with an over/under of 234.5 and money lines of -249 for OKC and +203 for Cleveland.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulated the game 10,000 times and projects the total will go Over 234.5, with both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Donovan Mitchell scoring roughly 32 points and the teams combining for about 239 points; the Over hit in 54% of simulations. The model also produced an against-the-spread pick that hits well over 60% of the time, and its specific picks are available at SportsLine.

Key Topics

Sports, Oklahoma City Thunder, Cleveland Cavaliers, Shai Gilgeous-alexander, Donovan Mitchell, Rocket Arena